Analyse fondamentale forex pdf books
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A good starting point is to consider the potential profit of the targeted trade. It's important to understand the various ways fundamental analysis can help you identify potentially profitable trades and to understand why these trades could be profitable. Here are two examples of how you could use fundamental analysis to identify potentially profitable investments. Established Stocks Established companies, mutual funds , and other large financial organizations make big moves in the financial markets and can act as portfolio builders for investors.
In this case, a trader's profit will act as compensation for the risks taken. There are many ways you can use fundamental analysis to determine if an investment in an established publicly-traded stock has the potential for profit. The goal is to weigh all the different information that can affect the stock's price. First, traders will look at the current economic environment, which includes domestic and global events that could affect the company and its stock price.
For example, are there any regional conflicts such as wars or labor strikes that could affect the company's ability to acquire materials needed for production? Are there macroeconomic factors that impact the company's pricing structure, such as increasing interest rates or inflation? What is the forecast for the company's industry as a whole? Are there disruptive factors that could negatively impact the niche in which the company operates?
The next step in a fundamental trading analysis is to conduct extensive research on the company itself. It's important to have a clear understanding of the company's business model and how it makes its money. Traders will review the company's financial statements , examining its cash flow statements, income statements, and balance sheets for at least the past two years.
During this review, the trader will be looking for clear signs of growth, effective management that can counteract any negative macroeconomic factors, and any competitive advantage the company has that could propel future growth. Lastly, the trader will analyze the company's competitors in a fashion similar to the fundamental analysis already conducted for the company. The trader will compare findings for both the target company and its competitors to rank all the companies as potential investments.
At this step of the fundamental analysis, the trader may discover the company offers good investment potential or a competing company offers better potential. Or, upon reflection, the trader may decide that none of the stocks reviewed would be good investments at this time. Initial Public Offerings An initial public offering IPO can provide traders with an opportunity to cash in on the discrepancy between the IPO price of the stock and the price at which it will eventually settle.
As a trader, your earnings will be your compensation for the risk you take on. While traders can use many of the fundamental analysis techniques outlined above, these alone may not be enough to fully evaluate the profit potential of an IPO. IPOs can have risk factors that a fundamental analysis may not be able to measure. For example, it can be challenging to do a fundamental analysis for IPOs in relatively new industries as there is little historical data about that industry for review and comparison purposes.
Fees reflect the demand on the blockchain, or how many transactions are paying to be added to blockchains as quickly as possible. Assessing fees paid over various periods gives you an idea of how secure the coin or token is. Transaction fees can naturally increase over time, with the block subsidy or block reward reduced relative to the mining difficulty.
Without adjusting the reward, crypto miners would begin working at a loss and start dropping off the blockchain. Financial Metrics The goal of fundamental analysis is to produce a quantitative value for an investor to analyze the prospect of an asset.
By assessing crypto financially involves understanding the trading conditions of assets including their liquidity, surrounding factors, and market response. All of these proves to be valuable crypto fundamental analysis, especially when assessing the prospect before formulating an investment plan.
It can be calculated by multiplying the current price by the supply of coins in circulation. Market capitalization can offer misleading valuations if you fail to factor in other metrics, such as liquidity. In general, investors may believe that low market cap coins have higher growth potential, though high market caps can also point to stronger infrastructure and lasting power. Liquidity and Trading Volume Liquidity is a measure of how easy it is to buy and sell an asset.
If a cryptocurrency asset can be quickly bought or sold without drastically altering the market value, then liquidity is strong. A liquid cryptocurrency coin or token will have many buyers and sellers in an order book waiting to be filled. This, in turn, narrows the bid-ask spread , which is a solid measure of liquidity.
The measure shows how many units of an asset have changed hands over a specific period. If an upward trend in value is backed by a high trading volume, the gains may be more likely to stick. Conversely, price fluctuations without significant trading volume may just be blips on the radar.
Circulating Supply The circulating supply of a cryptocurrency refers to the total number of coins in active supply that are accessible to the public. Developers may increase the number of coins or tokens circulating in a centralized supply. With a mineable cryptocurrency, mining activities can increase the circulating supply. Project Metrics Project metrics take a qualitative approach to evaluating the performance of a cryptocurrency.
They focus on internal and external factors, such as the purpose of the cryptocurrency and how the cryptocurrency project operates. Background Analysis Crypto project websites will include a list of their team members.
Carefully researching team profiles and their track records can shed light on the likely success of the current project. You may also consider any early backers or advisors to the project in order to assess credibility. Crypto White Paper The crypto white paper is a technical document that outlines the purpose and operation of the project. It is the most important of the project documents and should at a minimum contain the following information: Blockchain technology solutions Use cases for the currency Planned features and upgrades Token economics and sale information Team Information Examine the white paper with a good dose of skepticism and look out for third-party reviews about the project.
Competitor Comparison Market competition weeds out winners from losers. Doing a thorough search for market competitors identifies the landscape in which each project must compete. Understanding the overall ecosystem is crucial to evaluating the potential of a project. Product Road Map Most crypto products have a road map for the future, showing the timeline for test nets, releases, and newly planned features. The road map should offer a clear outline of future developments. Use the road map to measure the achievement of milestones.
Tokenomics and Utility Tokenomics is the economics of token supply and demand. Supply and demand drive the value and price of cryptocurrencies. The higher the demand relative to supply, the higher the price. Tokenomics theory also includes the incentive structure used to motivate behavior on a network. The utility of a token represents the role it can play.
A token with more real-world use cases may attract more users and attention. What Else for Cryptocurrency Analysis? Quantitative analysis is great to give investors an overview of the financial metrics considering the factors that can be measured numerically. That is especially when crypto is a target market with such a wide range of external factors to be considered. That said, social politics and user behavior can greatly impact the business fundamentals surrounding an asset.
Sociopolitical Environment The Covid pandemic gave investors a taste of a truly global crisis and its impact on financial markets. As the pandemic unfolded, all assets, including cryptocurrencies, actually sold off. This risk-off attitude drove investors to flee speculative assets. In response to the crisis, governments around the world passed trillions of dollars in stimulus packages, and crypto came into favor again.
With central banks flooding the system with fiat currencies, investors may turn to cryptocurrency as a store of value and an inflation hedge. Uncertain regulatory frameworks can also interfere with crypto markets, with sudden bans from countries like Turkey and China sending signals that governments still have their say.
User Behavior Fundamental analysis is supposed to give investors a holistic overview. And user behavior is one of the most difficult factors to evaluate. Social media, crypto community, and marketing, in general, can all have a major impact on user behavior and market participants, but the effects can be hard to predict.
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